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MLS · Matchday 32

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Seattle Sounders FC crest Seattle Sounders FC
vs
Houston Dynamo FC crest Houston Dynamo FC
Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Seattle Sounders FC win
    Model probability 36% 40% 72%
  • Double chance Free pick Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1X)
    Model probability 91% 10% 90%
  • More corners Free pick Seattle Sounders FC
    Model probability 25% 62% 68%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 86%Over 4.5 84%Over 5.5 16%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 66%Over 9.5 49%Over 10.5 29%

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Why this pick?

Our model goes with Seattle Sounders FC mainly because it rates them the stronger side over the long run, with Houston Dynamo FC below the MLS average, and because they play at home. The counterweight is the table, where Houston sit fifth, five points better off than Seattle's seventh. What settles it is the matchup: Seattle's defence rating is among the best in MLS and they concede few clear chances, while Houston's attack is rated low and their last five games show clearly fewer big chances than the league norm, and Seattle have won 19 of 33 meetings. The call is a moderate one.

Match summary

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC is the MLS Matchday 32 fixture at Lumen Field on Thursday 29 October 2026, and our model goes with a home win, with Seattle Sounders FC win or draw as the double chance.

Form guide

Seattle Sounders FC

  • D 2-2 at San Diego FC (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs CF Montréal (H) MLS · 18 Oct
  • L 0-1 at FC Dallas (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • W 3-0 at New England Revolution (A) MLS · 10 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Sporting Kansas City (H) MLS · 2 Oct

Houston Dynamo FC

  • D 0-0 vs Minnesota United (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs FC Dallas (H) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 3-3 at San Diego FC (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Minnesota United (A) MLS · 11 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Sporting Kansas City (H) MLS · 27 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Seattle Sounders FCHouston Dynamo FC
Attack 48 14 1.3 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 90 83 1.3 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1760Elo #162 Elo rating 1709Elo #223

Head-to-head

19Seattle Sounders FC wins
9draws
5Houston Dynamo FC wins

33 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 5 Apr 2026 · MLS Houston Dynamo FC 0-1 Seattle Sounders FC
  • 11 May 2025 · MLS Houston Dynamo FC 1-3 Seattle Sounders FC
  • 23 Mar 2025 · MLS Seattle Sounders FC 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC
  • 3 Nov 2024 · MLS Houston Dynamo FC 1-1 Seattle Sounders FC
  • 29 Oct 2024 · MLS Seattle Sounders FC 0-0 Houston Dynamo FC

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
5 Houston Dynamo FC 31 1399 41:39 +2 48
7 Seattle Sounders FC 31 111010 41:39 +2 43

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
Since last match
Seattle Sounders FC: 4 days (MLS)
Houston Dynamo FC: 4 days (MLS)
Next match
Seattle Sounders FC: 3 days (MLS) later
Houston Dynamo FC: 4 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Seattle Sounders FC to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Seattle Sounders FC or draw.

What time is Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC and where is it played?

Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC kicks off at 02:30 UK time (02:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington. Local time: 22:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

What is the recent form of Seattle Sounders FC and Houston Dynamo FC?

Seattle Sounders FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 3. Houston Dynamo FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 4.

What is the head-to-head record between Seattle Sounders FC and Houston Dynamo FC?

Seattle Sounders FC and Houston Dynamo FC have met 33 times in our records since 2010: Seattle Sounders FC won 19, Houston Dynamo FC won 5 and 9 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-04-05, Houston Dynamo FC 0-1 Seattle Sounders FC.

Who is the referee for Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

The referee is Lorenzo Hernandez. In the last 34 matches we have on record, Lorenzo Hernandez has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.