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MLS · Matchday 32

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

San Jose Earthquakes crest San Jose Earthquakes
vs
Colorado Rapids crest Colorado Rapids
PayPal Park, San Jose, California

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick San Jose Earthquakes win
    Model probability 71% 67% 81%
  • Double chance Free pick San Jose Earthquakes or Colorado Rapids (12)
    Model probability 28% 62% 15%
  • More corners Free pick San Jose Earthquakes
    Model probability 96% 55% 93%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 64%Over 4.5 32%Over 5.5 25%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 79%Over 9.5 53%Over 10.5 51%

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Every percentage of our model from 48 hours before kick-off: result, double chance, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, yellow card and corner lines, and our Top 5 picks as soon as they are out. Cancel any time.

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Why this pick?

Our model backs a San Jose Earthquakes win, and the main reason is the setting: PayPal Park, with Colorado Rapids making the trip. The strongest argument against is San Jose's own attacking output over the last five matches, well down on the league average for big chances and for time in the opposition box, while the two sides' recent form barely separates them. What carries the pick is the difference in forward threat — Colorado's attack rating is very low — and a home defence that has been keeping the clearest openings to a minimum lately. The call is narrow.

Match summary

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is the MLS fixture on Thursday 29 October 2026, Matchday 32, and our model goes with a home win plus a double chance on either side to take it without the draw.

Form guide

San Jose Earthquakes

  • L 0-3 at FC Dallas (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Real Salt Lake (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Colorado Rapids (A) MLS · 11 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Portland Timbers (H) MLS · 27 Sep

Colorado Rapids

  • W 1-0 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 at Portland Timbers (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Minnesota United (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs San Jose Earthquakes (H) MLS · 11 Oct
  • L 2-3 at LA Galaxy (A) MLS · 27 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

San Jose EarthquakesColorado Rapids
Attack 55 24 1.7 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season
Defence 28 59 1.5 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1699Elo #234 Elo rating 1679Elo #261

Head-to-head

13San Jose Earthquakes wins
12draws
13Colorado Rapids wins

38 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 11 Oct 2026 · MLS Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 21 May 2026 · US Open Cup Colorado Rapids 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 11 May 2025 · MLS Colorado Rapids 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 16 Mar 2025 · MLS San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado Rapids
  • 12 May 2024 · MLS Colorado Rapids 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
4 San Jose Earthquakes 31 1399 52:45 +7 48
8 Colorado Rapids 31 12613 42:41 +1 42

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
PayPal Park, San Jose, California
Since last match
San Jose Earthquakes: 4 days (MLS)
Colorado Rapids: 4 days (MLS)
Next match
San Jose Earthquakes: 2 days (MLS) later
Colorado Rapids: 2 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids prediction: who will win?

Our model picks San Jose Earthquakes to win, and it is a narrow call. The main reason is home advantage. Our double chance pick is San Jose Earthquakes or Colorado Rapids (no draw).

What time is San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids and where is it played?

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids kicks off at 02:30 UK time (02:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at PayPal Park, San Jose, California. Local time: 22:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

What is the recent form of San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids?

San Jose Earthquakes have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 4. Colorado Rapids have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 4.

What is the head-to-head record between San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids?

San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids have met 38 times in our records since 2010: San Jose Earthquakes won 13, Colorado Rapids won 13 and 12 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-10-11, Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Who is the referee for San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?

The referee is Ramy Touchan. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Ramy Touchan has averaged 4.6 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.