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MLS · Matchday 32

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Vancouver Whitecaps win
    Model probability Vancouver Whitecaps 89% Draw 76% San Diego FC 39%
  • Double chance Free pick Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1X)
    Model probability Vancouver Whitecaps / Draw 40% Vancouver Whitecaps / San Diego FC 46% Draw / San Diego FC 67%
  • Both teams to score Free pick Yes
    Model probability 59%
  • More corners Free pick Vancouver Whitecaps
    Model probability Vancouver Whitecaps 66% Level 31% San Diego FC 16%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 68%Over 4.5 28%Over 5.5 13%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 87%Over 9.5 73%Over 10.5 50%

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Why this pick?

Our model goes with Vancouver Whitecaps mainly because it rates them clearly the stronger side in MLS — top of the table with 63 goals scored and 32 conceded — and because they are at home. It finds nothing of real substance to set against that. San Diego's attack rating is only marginally the higher of the two, while their defence is rated far weaker and they sit 12th with 58 goals against; Vancouver have also won two of the four meetings. The call is a moderate one rather than an emphatic one.

Both teams to score: Our model expects goals at both ends. San Diego have scored and conceded in each of their last five, and their big-chance creation sits above the league average, while Vancouver's recent numbers in both boxes point the same way.

Match summary

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC at BC Place on Thursday 29 October 2026, in MLS Matchday 32, a game our model sees ending in a home win and a Vancouver win-or-draw double chance.

Form guide

Vancouver Whitecaps

  • L 0-1 at Colorado Rapids (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Austin FC (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 0-0 at St. Louis City (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Los Angeles FC (A) MLS · 11 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Chicago Fire FC (A) MLS · 7 Oct

San Diego FC

  • D 2-2 vs Seattle Sounders FC (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at LA Galaxy (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 3-3 vs Houston Dynamo FC (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Red Bull New York (A) MLS · 10 Oct
  • D 3-3 at Austin FC (A) MLS · 27 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Vancouver WhitecapsSan Diego FC
Attack 83 86 2.0 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season
Defence 93 34 1.0 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1786Elo #140 Elo rating 1727Elo #206

Head-to-head

2Vancouver Whitecaps wins
1draw
1San Diego FC wins

4 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 May 2026 · MLS San Diego FC 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 30 Nov 2025 · MLS San Diego FC 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 20 Jul 2025 · MLS San Diego FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 26 Jun 2025 · MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego FC

MLS so far

MLS records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 31 1678 63:32 +31 55
12 San Diego FC 31 81112 55:58 -3 35

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
Since last match
Vancouver Whitecaps: 4 days (MLS)
San Diego FC: 4 days (MLS)
Next match
Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 days (MLS) later
San Diego FC: 2 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Vancouver Whitecaps to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Vancouver Whitecaps or draw.

What time is Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC and where is it played?

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC kicks off at 02:30 UK time (02:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia. Local time: 22:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of our goal model's view of the matchup. We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.

What is the recent form of Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and lost their latest match. San Diego FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 3.

What is the head-to-head record between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC have met 4 times in our records since 2010: Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, San Diego FC won 1 and 1 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-05-24, San Diego FC 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Who is the referee for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

The referee is Joe Dickerson. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Joe Dickerson has averaged 4.4 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.