Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC Prediction, Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Free picks- Result Free pick
Vancouver Whitecaps win Model probability
Vancouver Whitecaps 89% Draw 76%
San Diego FC 39% - Double chance Free pick Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1X)Model probability
Vancouver Whitecaps / Draw 40% 
Vancouver Whitecaps / San Diego FC 46%
Draw / San Diego FC 67% - Both teams to score Free pick YesModel probability 59%
- More corners Free pick
Vancouver Whitecaps Model probability
Vancouver Whitecaps 66% Level 31%
San Diego FC 16% - Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)Model probability Over 3.5 68%Over 4.5 28%Over 5.5 13%
- Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)Model probability Over 8.5 87%Over 9.5 73%Over 10.5 50%
- Over 2.5 goalsModel probability 95%
See exactly how confident our model is
Every probability, plus over/under 2.5 goals. The result percentages are free for everyone 2h before kick-off ·
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All probabilities
Result after 90 minutes
Double chance
1X · Vancouver Whitecaps or draw40%
12 · Vancouver Whitecaps or San Diego FC46%
X2 · San Diego FC or draw67%
Both teams to score
Yes59%
No36%
Goals over/under 2.5
Over 2.595%
Under 2.548%
Yellow cards
Expected 8.6
Over 3.5 / under68% · 51%
Over 4.5 / under28% · 83%
Over 5.5 / under13% · 93%
Corners
Expected
Vancouver Whitecaps 6.0 – 2.3
San Diego FC
Over 8.5 / under87% · 21%
Over 9.5 / under73% · 74%
Over 10.5 / under50% · 82%
More corners
Vancouver Whitecaps66%
Level31%
San Diego FC16%
Why this pick?
Our model goes with Vancouver Whitecaps mainly because it rates them clearly the stronger side in MLS — top of the table with 63 goals scored and 32 conceded — and because they are at home. It finds nothing of real substance to set against that. San Diego's attack rating is only marginally the higher of the two, while their defence is rated far weaker and they sit 12th with 58 goals against; Vancouver have also won two of the four meetings. The call is a moderate one rather than an emphatic one.
Both teams to score: Our model expects goals at both ends. San Diego have scored and conceded in each of their last five, and their big-chance creation sits above the league average, while Vancouver's recent numbers in both boxes point the same way.
Match summary
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC at BC Place on Thursday 29 October 2026, in MLS Matchday 32, a game our model sees ending in a home win and a Vancouver win-or-draw double chance.
Form guide
Vancouver Whitecaps
- L 0-1 at Colorado Rapids (A) MLS · 25 Oct
- W 2-1 at Austin FC (A) MLS · 18 Oct
- D 0-0 at St. Louis City (A) MLS · 15 Oct
- D 1-1 at Los Angeles FC (A) MLS · 11 Oct
- L 1-3 at Chicago Fire FC (A) MLS · 7 Oct
San Diego FC
- D 2-2 vs Seattle Sounders FC (H) MLS · 25 Oct
- D 2-2 at LA Galaxy (A) MLS · 18 Oct
- D 3-3 vs Houston Dynamo FC (H) MLS · 15 Oct
- L 1-4 at Red Bull New York (A) MLS · 10 Oct
- D 3-3 at Austin FC (A) MLS · 27 Sep
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Attack and defence ratings
0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
4 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 24 May 2026 · MLS San Diego FC 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps
- 30 Nov 2025 · MLS San Diego FC 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
- 20 Jul 2025 · MLS San Diego FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
- 26 Jun 2025 · MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego FC
MLS so far
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | +31 | 55 |
| 12 | | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | -3 | 35 |
Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table
Match facts
- Competition
- MLS, Matchday 32
- Kick-off
- Venue
- BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
- Since last match
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 4 days (MLS)
San Diego FC: 4 days (MLS) - Next match
- Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 days (MLS) later
San Diego FC: 2 days (MLS) later
Questions and answers
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC prediction: who will win?
Our model picks Vancouver Whitecaps to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Vancouver Whitecaps or draw.
What time is Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC and where is it played?
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC kicks off at 02:30 UK time (02:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia. Local time: 22:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of our goal model's view of the matchup. We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.
What is the recent form of Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC?
Vancouver Whitecaps have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and lost their latest match. San Diego FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 3.
What is the head-to-head record between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC?
Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC have met 4 times in our records since 2010: Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, San Diego FC won 1 and 1 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-05-24, San Diego FC 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Who is the referee for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
The referee is Joe Dickerson. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Joe Dickerson has averaged 4.4 yellow cards per match.
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Times are UTC.