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NBA · Regular season

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers: Preview and Stats

Toyota Center, Houston

Our picks

Our picks for Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Houston Rockets 8 of 12 right (67%)
  • LA Clippers 7 of 10 right (70%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Toyota Center
City
Houston
Since last match
Houston Rockets: Denver Nuggets LA Clippers: Dallas Mavericks
Next match
Houston Rockets: Phoenix Suns LA Clippers: Memphis Grizzlies

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Houston Rockets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

LA Clippers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Houston Rockets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

LA Clippers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Houston Rockets

Projected Starters
  • F Jabari Smith Jr.
    35.3 MPG 16.4 PPG 6.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F Kevin Durant
    33.8 MPG 20.1 PPG 6.0 RPG 3.5 APG
  • C Alperen Sengun
    35.5 MPG 19.9 PPG 9.6 RPG 8.4 APG
  • G-F Amen Thompson
    32.7 MPG 14.7 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G Fred VanVleet
    29.9 MPG 14.6 PPG 3.1 RPG 5.0 APG
Key Bench
  • F Tari Eason
    25.5 MPG 9.8 PPG 6.2 RPG 1.5 APG
  • G Reed Sheppard
    19.9 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.6 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G Marcus Smart
    20.6 MPG 8.6 PPG 2.6 RPG 2.1 APG

LA Clippers

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Garland
    32.7 MPG 20.4 PPG 1.8 RPG 6.9 APG
  • G Kris Dunn
    28.6 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.0 RPG 4.3 APG
  • F Derrick Jones Jr.
    29.2 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.9 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Rui Hachimura
    29.5 MPG 14.4 PPG 5.9 RPG 1.6 APG
  • G Kobe Sanders
    24.3 MPG 9.8 PPG 2.9 RPG 2.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Brandon Ingram
    31.5 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • C Brook Lopez
    23.4 MPG 13.6 PPG 5.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Keaton Wagler
    23.2 MPG 12.2 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.4 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Houston Rockets

#2 of 30
Net rating +7.2 30d: +0.9
Pace: -2.6 (#25 of 30)

LA Clippers

#23 of 30
Net rating -3.4 30d: -1.3
Pace: -1.3 (#13 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Houston Rockets

Net 74
Shot quality (TS%) 55
3PT volume & accuracy 52
Ball security & passing 37
Rebounding control 56
Defensive disruption 67

ORtg 114.9 · DRtg 106.4 · Net +8.5 · TS 58.5%

LA Clippers

Net 34
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 63
Ball security & passing 12
Rebounding control 42
Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 108.4 · DRtg 114.1 · Net -5.7 · TS 58.4%

Houston Rockets · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 9W actual vs 9.0W expected (12 GP)
LA Clippers · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 2W actual vs 3.3W expected (10 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Houston Rockets

Win rate when leading at HT 10/11 (91%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/2 (50%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.5 (49.6%) 2H: 56.3 (50.4%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 7-2

LA Clippers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/8 (50%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.3 (50.2%) 2H: 55.8 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 3-6

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

HOULAC
Points scored / game 114.3 112.2
Points allowed / game 105.8 118.1
Average game total 220.1 230.3
Average 1st-half total 105.2 114.3
Possessions / 48 min 99.4 102.4
Games with 220+ pts 6/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 6/10
Games with 240+ pts 0/10 4/10
Scored 115+ pts 5/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Houston Rockets

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

LA Clippers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Houston Rockets

  • #1 Alperen Sengun C 17.4% pts share
    19.9 PPG · 9.6 RPG · 8.4 APG · 0.8 3PM 17.3% FGA
  • #2 Kevin Durant F 17.6% pts share
    20.1 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 3.5 APG · 1.2 3PM 15.1% FGA
  • #3 Fred VanVleet G 12.8% pts share
    14.6 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 5.0 APG · 3.0 3PM 12.7% FGA

LA Clippers

  • #1 Darius Garland G 18.2% pts share
    20.4 PPG · 1.8 RPG · 6.9 APG · 2.4 3PM 17.9% FGA
  • #2 Brandon Ingram F 15.8% pts share
    17.7 PPG · 0.0 RPG · 0.0 APG · 0.0 3PM
  • #3 Keaton Wagler G 10.9% pts share
    12.2 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 3.4 APG · 1.7 3PM 10.0% FGA

Last five games

Houston Rockets

  • W 115-108 vs Golden State Warriors (H) 12 Nov
  • W 110-100 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 10 Nov
  • L 99-102 at Phoenix Suns (A) 8 Nov
  • L 107-117 vs Minnesota Timberwolves (H) 5 Nov
  • W 109-93 vs Boston Celtics (H) 3 Nov

LA Clippers

  • L 110-133 at Phoenix Suns (A) 11 Nov
  • W 139-123 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 9 Nov
  • L 116-117 vs Miami Heat (H) 5 Nov
  • L 118-125 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 3 Nov
  • L 112-124 at Golden State Warriors (A) 2 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

HOU · 6W LAC · 4W
Avg total pts: 224.4 HOU avg: 112.9 LAC avg: 111.5 225+ pt games: 5/10 HOU at home: 4-2
  • 11 Feb 2026 HOU 102‑105 LAC
  • 10 Feb 2026 HOU 102‑95 LAC
  • 23 Dec 2025 LAC 128‑108 HOU
  • 11 Dec 2025 HOU 115‑113 LAC
  • 9 Apr 2025 LAC 134‑117 HOU
  • 8 Dec 2024 LAC 106‑117 HOU
  • 15 Nov 2024 HOU 125‑104 LAC
  • 13 Nov 2024 HOU 111‑103 LAC
  • 14 Apr 2024 LAC 105‑116 HOU
  • 6 Mar 2024 HOU 116‑122 LAC

Season profile comparison

HOULAC
Record 9-3 2-8
At home 6-1 2-3
On the road 3-2 0-5
Conference 3 of 15, Western Conference 13 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Won 2 in a row –
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #2 of 30 #23 of 30
Pace #26 of 30 #13 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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