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UEFA Nations League · League C, Matchday 6

Latvia vs Armenia: Match Preview & Stats

Latvia crest Latvia
vs
Armenia crest Armenia
Stadions Skonto, Rīga

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Match facts

Competition
UEFA Nations League, League C, Matchday 6
Kick-off
Venue
Stadions Skonto, Rīga
Since last match
Latvia: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Montenegro (2‑1) Armenia: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Cyprus (1‑1)
Next match
Latvia: not scheduled yet Armenia: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Latvia 5-4-1

  1. 23 Matrevics
  2. 21 Meļņiks
  3. 5 Černomordijs
  4. 4 Vientiess
  5. 13 Jurkovskis
  6. 3 Cirkin
  7. 7 Dašķevičs
  8. 17 Vapne
  9. 15 Zelenkovs
  10. 14 Cigaņiks
  11. 20 Uldriķis

Coach: Paolo Nicolato at Montenegro, 1-2 · UEFA Nations League C · 12 Nov

Armenia 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 Mishiev
  2. 2 Bandikyan
  3. 4 Arutiunian
  4. 5 Mkrtchyan
  5. 21 Tiknizyan
  6. 8 Hovhannisyan
  7. 6 Iwu
  8. 9 Serobyan
  9. 22 Grigoryan
  10. 10 Shaghoyan
  11. 18 Gharibyan

Coach: Yegishe Melikyan vs Cyprus, 1-1 · UEFA Nations League C · 12 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Latvia

  • DF Kristers PenkevicsInjured · Return unknown
  • MF Renars VarslavansInjured · Late January 2027

Armenia

No absences reported.

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Latvia

Low impact
Missing attack share 4.0%
Missing minutes share 2.0%
2 players out
Key absences:
  • MF Renars Varslavans 4% attack · 2% mins

Armenia

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 8 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Latvia Armenia
Box & Territory Pressure 38 40
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 71 36
Finishing Efficiency 15 42
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 62 15
Underlying Play Power 39 27
Latvia Balanced (results match underlying play)
Armenia Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 8 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Latvia

When scoring first 60% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 22% points rescued · 0% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 30% 2nd Half: 70%
First 15': 10% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Armenia

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first 9% points rescued · 0% won (11 matches)
1st Half: 36% 2nd Half: 64%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 0%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Latvia

  1. 1. FW Vladislavs Gutkovskis 2G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. DF Andrejs Cigaņiks 0G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Lūkass Vapne 0G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 9.0%

Armenia

  1. 1. MF Eduard Spertsyan 2G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Artur Serobyan 1G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Artur Gharibyan 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Latvia Armenia
Over 1.5 goals 6/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 3/10
Over 3.5 goals 0/10 2/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 2/10
Failed to score 3/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.7 / 1.2 0.9 / 2.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Latvia

  • L 1-2 at Montenegro (A) UEFA Nations League · 12 Nov
  • L 1-2 at Cyprus (A) UEFA Nations League · 5 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Montenegro (H) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Cyprus (H) UEFA Nations League · 28 Sep
  • L 0-2 at Armenia (A) UEFA Nations League · 25 Sep

Armenia

  • D 1-1 vs Cyprus (H) UEFA Nations League · 12 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Montenegro (A) UEFA Nations League · 5 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Cyprus (A) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • L 2-3 vs Montenegro (H) UEFA Nations League · 28 Sep
  • W 2-0 vs Latvia (H) UEFA Nations League · 25 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Latvia

Armenia

Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Latvia

Player G A
Deniss Meļņiks 1 0
Eduards Dašķevičs 1 0
Markuss Strods 1 0

Armenia

Player G
Artur Gharibyan 2
Artur Serobyan 1
Eduard Spertsyan 1
Georgiy Arutiunian 1

Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Latvia Armenia
  • 4.0 Corners won 7.2
  • 8.2 Corners conceded 3.0
  • 2.0 Yellow cards 2.0
  • 2.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.0

Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LatviaArmenia
Attack 8 25
Defence 11 13

0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1460Elo #114 Elo rating 1588Elo #82

Head-to-head

1Latvia wins
0draws
4Armenia wins

5 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 25 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League Armenia 2-0 Latvia
  • 17 Nov 2024 · UEFA Nations League Latvia 1-2 Armenia
  • 7 Sep 2024 · UEFA Nations League Armenia 4-1 Latvia
  • 12 Oct 2023 · EURO Qualification Latvia 2-0 Armenia
  • 19 Jun 2023 · EURO Qualification Armenia 2-1 Latvia

Table

League C - Group 2

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Montenegro 5 410 9:5 +4 13
2 Cyprus 5 221 6:4 +2 8
3 Armenia 5 122 5:6 -1 5
4 Latvia 5 014 3:8 -5 1

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

More UEFA Nations League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.