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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Salzburg vs Ararat Armenia: Match Preview & Stats

Salzburg crest Salzburg
vs
Ararat Armenia crest Ararat Armenia
Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Salzburg: 2 of 3 right
  • Ararat Armenia: 3 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
Since last match
Salzburg: 4 days (Bundesliga) · Anderlecht (2‑0) Ararat Armenia: 6 days (Premier League) · Torreense (3‑2)
Next match
Salzburg: 2 days (Bundesliga) later Ararat Armenia: 3 days (Premier League) later

Last starting XI

Salzburg 4-2-3-1

  1. 52 Zawieschitzky
  2. 39 Morgalla
  3. 21 Drexler
  4. 47 Zabransky
  5. 13 Krätzig
  6. 32 Barry
  7. 15 Mazurek
  8. 20 Baidoo
  9. 30 Diakite
  10. 11 Vertessen
  11. 9 Tabaković

Coach: Danny Röhl at Anderlecht, 0-2 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Ararat Armenia 4-3-3

  1. 98 Bravim
  2. 2 Oliveira
  3. 47 Malis
  4. 43 Wilson
  5. 19 Grigoryan
  6. 70 Benny
  7. 8 Balanta
  8. 20 Muradyan
  9. 9 Serobyan
  10. 91 Lima
  11. 10 Shaghoyan

Coach: Tulipa at Torreense, 2-3 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Salzburg

  • DF Dominik SchmidInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF John MellbergInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • DF Kévin BomaInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Nikolas VeratschnigInjured · Mid December 2026
  • MF Sota KitanoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Enrique AguilarInjured · A few weeks

Ararat Armenia

  • GK João BravimSuspended

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Salzburg

High impact
Missing attack share 17.0%
Missing minutes share 20.0%
6 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Sota Kitano 10% attack · 4% mins
  • DF Dominik Schmid 5% attack · 6% mins

Ararat Armenia

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
1 player out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • GK João Bravim 0% attack · 8% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 4 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Salzburg Ararat Armenia
Box & Territory Pressure 43 42
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 27 64
Finishing Efficiency 18 16
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 37 15
Underlying Play Power 20 29
Salzburg Balanced (results match underlying play)
Ararat Armenia Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 4 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Salzburg

When scoring first 50% won · 67% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 62% 2nd Half: 38%
First 15': 31% Last 15' (76-90'): 8%

Ararat Armenia

When scoring first No matches in sample
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 25% Last 15' (76-90'): 0%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Salzburg

  1. 1. FW Haris Tabaković 1G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 12.0%
  2. 2. MF Jesper Lindstrøm 1G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Damir Redzic 0G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 4.0%

Ararat Armenia

  1. 1. FW Artur Serobyan 0G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 23.0%
  2. 2. DF Bruno Wilson 2G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Sandro Lima 0G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Salzburg Ararat Armenia
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 5/10
Both teams scored 4/10 6/10
Clean sheet 4/10 3/10
Failed to score 3/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.1 / 1.3 1.7 / 1.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Salzburg

  • W 4-3 at Sturm Graz (A) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Anderlecht (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 5-1 vs Austria Lustenau (H) Bundesliga · 1 Nov
  • W 3-1 at LASK (A) Bundesliga · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at NK Celje (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Ararat Armenia

  • L 2-3 at Torreense (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-0 vs Gandzasar (H) Premier League · 1 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs FC Noah (H) Premier League · 26 Oct
  • L 0-4 vs AZ Alkmaar (H) Europa League · 22 Oct
  • W 1-0 at BKMA (A) Premier League · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Salzburg

Ararat Armenia

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Salzburg

Player G A
Haris Tabaković 1 0
Jesper Lindstrøm 1 0
Sota Kitano 1 0

Ararat Armenia

Player G A
Bruno Wilson 2 0
Karen Muradyan 1 0
Zidane Banjaqui 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Salzburg Ararat Armenia
  • 3.5 Corners won 4.0
  • 3.5 Corners conceded 6.2
  • 2.8 Yellow cards 3.0
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

SalzburgArarat Armenia
Attack 49 0 0.8 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 31 0 2.0 conceded per match this season3.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1812Elo #122 Elo rating 1551Elo #355

Head-to-head

Salzburg and Ararat Armenia have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Salzburg 4
Ararat Armenia 0

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Times are UTC.