OptimaGoal
EN
Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Marseille vs Levski Sofia: Match Preview & Stats

Marseille crest Marseille
vs
Levski Sofia crest Levski Sofia
CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Marseille: 4 of 8 right
  • Levski Sofia: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille
Since last match
Marseille: 3 days (Ligue 1) · Le Mans Levski Sofia: 4 days (First Professional League) · Jagiellonia Białystok (1‑0)
Next match
Marseille: 2 days (Ligue 1) later Levski Sofia: 2 days (First Professional League) later

Last starting XI

Marseille 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 De Lange
  2. 22 Weah
  3. 4 Egan-Riley
  4. 21 Aguerd
  5. 25 Garcia
  6. 23 Højbjerg
  7. 6 Nnadi
  8. 77 Harit
  9. 8 Abdelli
  10. 14 Paixão
  11. 9 Gouiri

Coach: Bruno Génésio at Lens, 2-1 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Levski Sofia 4-3-3

  1. 92 Vutsov
  2. 21 Aldair
  3. 50 Dimitrov
  4. 4 Makoun
  5. 3 Maicon
  6. 35 Sérginho
  7. 8 Grujić
  8. 19 Moubarik
  9. 22 Soula
  10. 7 Reinaldo
  11. 17 Bala

Coach: Julio Velázquez vs Jagiellonia Białystok, 1-0 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Marseille

  • DF Derek CorneliusInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF EmersonInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Levski Sofia

  • MF Asen MitkovInjured · Late November 2026
  • – Radoslav KirilovInjured · Return unknown

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Marseille

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 5.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
2 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • DF Emerson 5% attack · 4% mins

Levski Sofia

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Marseille Levski Sofia
Box & Territory Pressure 47 33
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 42 24
Finishing Efficiency 75 24
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 78 88
Underlying Play Power 30 36
Marseille Results above play quality (running hot)
Levski Sofia Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Marseille

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 12% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 41% 2nd Half: 59%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 26%

Levski Sofia

When scoring first 67% won · 100% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first No matches in sample
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 25%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Marseille

  1. 1. FW Amine Gouiri 4G · 3A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Igor Paixão 2G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 22.0%
  3. 3. MF Himad Abdelli 3G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 7.0%

Levski Sofia

  1. 1. FW Reinaldo 2G · 1A
    Team attack 26.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. FW Everton Bala 1G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 27.0%
  3. 3. MF Sérginho 0G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Marseille Levski Sofia
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 0/10
Both teams scored 5/10 3/10
Clean sheet 3/10 5/10
Failed to score 2/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.8 / 1.4 0.9 / 0.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Marseille

  • W 2-1 at Lens (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Bayer Leverkusen (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Toulouse (H) Ligue 1 · 1 Nov
  • W 4-3 vs Le Havre (H) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Sturm Graz (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Levski Sofia

  • L 0-3 vs CSKA Sofia (H) First Professional League · 8 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Jagiellonia Białystok (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Dunav Ruse (A) First Professional League · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Arda Kardzhali (A) First Professional League · 27 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Viktoria Plzeň (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Marseille

Levski Sofia

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Marseille

Player G A
Amine Gouiri 1 0
Keyliane Abdallah 1 0

Levski Sofia

Player G A
Reinaldo 2 1
Everton Bala 1 0
Stivan Stoyanchov 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Marseille Levski Sofia
  • 4.5 Corners won 2.8
  • 3.0 Corners conceded 4.8
  • 2.2 Yellow cards 1.2
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

MarseilleLevski Sofia
Attack 91 11 0.5 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 69 54 1.5 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1935Elo #51 Elo rating 1738Elo #188

Head-to-head

Marseille and Levski Sofia have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Marseille 3
Levski Sofia 7

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Europa League club's projection →

More Europa League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.