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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Union St.Gilloise vs Lech Poznań: Match Preview & Stats

Union St.Gilloise crest Union St.Gilloise
vs
Lech Poznań crest Lech Poznań
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Union St.Gilloise: 5 of 7 right
  • Lech Poznań: 2 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee (neutral venue)
Since last match
Union St.Gilloise: 4 days (Belgian Pro League) · Kortrijk Lech Poznań: 4 days (Ekstraklasa) · Benfica (3‑1)
Next match
Union St.Gilloise: 3 days (Belgian Pro League) later Lech Poznań: 2 days (Ekstraklasa) later

Last starting XI

Union St.Gilloise 3-4-2-1

  1. 12 Koffi
  2. 26 Sykes
  3. 29 Sylla
  4. 55 Havenaar
  5. 27 Patris
  6. 6 van de Perre
  7. 8 Zorgane
  8. 11 Smith
  9. 23 Zeneli
  10. 30 Florucz
  11. 13 Rodríguez

Coach: David Hubert vs Genk, 1-0 · First Division A · 8 Nov

Lech Poznań 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Lis
  2. 2 Pereira
  3. 72 Skrzypczak
  4. 59 Yegbe
  5. 15 Gurgul
  6. 22 Murawski
  7. 43 Kozubal
  8. 10 Wålemark
  9. 21 Rodríguez
  10. 22 Håkans
  11. 7 Agnero

Coach: Niels Frederiksen at Benfica, 1-3 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Union St.Gilloise

  • DF Kevin Mac AllisterInjured · Early June 2027
  • MF Ondřej KričfalušiInjured · Day to day
  • FW Mateo BiondicInjured · Late November 2026

Lech Poznań

  • DF Alex DouglasInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF João MoutinhoInjured · Early February 2027
  • DF Wojciech MońkaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Ali GholizadehInjured · Mid January 2027
  • FW Allahyar SayyadmaneshInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Mikael IshakInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Union St.Gilloise

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Mateo Biondic 6% attack · 3% mins

Lech Poznań

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 15.0%
Missing minutes share 9.0%
6 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Mikael Ishak 11% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 4% attack · 1% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Union St.Gilloise Lech Poznań
Box & Territory Pressure 74 39
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 67 23
Finishing Efficiency 84 24
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 77 22
Underlying Play Power 82 15
Union St.Gilloise Results above play quality (running hot)
Lech Poznań Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Union St.Gilloise

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 60% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 32% 2nd Half: 68%
First 15': 8% Last 15' (76-90'): 30%

Lech Poznań

When scoring first 83% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 60% 2nd Half: 40%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 7%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Union St.Gilloise

  1. 1. FW Relebohile Mofokeng 2G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  2. 2. MF Besfort Zeneli 2G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Louis Patris 1G · 3A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%

Lech Poznań

  1. 1. FW Patrik Wålemark 0G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. MF Leo Bengtsson 2G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. FW Luis Palma 0G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 18.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Union St.Gilloise Lech Poznań
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 9/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 8/10
Both teams scored 5/10 8/10
Clean sheet 5/10 0/10
Failed to score 0/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.4 / 0.6 2.4 / 1.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Union St.Gilloise

  • W 1-0 vs Genk (H) Belgian Pro League · 8 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Celta Vigo (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-1 at SK Beveren (A) Belgian Pro League · 31 Oct
  • W 5-2 vs Cercle Brugge (H) Belgian Pro League · 25 Oct
  • W 4-0 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (N) Europa League · 22 Oct

Lech Poznań

  • D 2-2 vs Zagłębie Lubin (H) Ekstraklasa · 8 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Benfica (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Wisła Kraków (H) Ekstraklasa · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Legia Warszawa (A) Ekstraklasa · 25 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Sunderland (H) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Union St.Gilloise

Lech Poznań

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Union St.Gilloise

Player G A
Besfort Zeneli 2 1
Guilherme Smith 2 0
Relebohile Mofokeng 1 1
Dylan Aquino 1 0
Mateo Biondic 1 0

Lech Poznań

Player G A
Leo Bengtsson 2 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Union St.Gilloise Lech Poznań
  • 2.5 Corners won 3.8
  • 4.5 Corners conceded 5.8
  • 1.8 Yellow cards 0.8
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Union St.GilloiseLech Poznań
Attack 71 66 2.5 goals per match this season0.5 goals per match this season
Defence 97 20 0.5 conceded per match this season3.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2038Elo #21 Elo rating 1847Elo #89

Head-to-head

Union St.Gilloise and Lech Poznań have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Union St.Gilloise 10
Lech Poznań 1

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Times are UTC.