OptimaGoal
EN
Premier League · Matchday 11

Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Match Preview & Stats

Hull City crest Hull City
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion crest Brighton & Hove Albion
MKM Stadium, Hull

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Hull City: 2 of 5 right
  • Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Premier League, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
Since last match
Hull City: 14 days (Premier League) · Arsenal (1‑0) Brighton & Hove Albion: 14 days (Premier League) · Brentford (2‑0)
Next match
Hull City: 7 days (Premier League) later Brighton & Hove Albion: 4 days (Conference League) later · Universitatea Craiova

Last starting XI

Hull City 5-3-2

  1. 19 Tzolakis
  2. 6 Ajayi
  3. 15 Egan
  4. 32 Mendy
  5. 2 Coyle
  6. 21 Stroud
  7. 42 Iroegbunam
  8. 29 Gourna-Douath
  9. 27 Slater
  10. 50 Cho
  11. 9 McBurnie

Coach: Sergej Jakirović at Arsenal, 0-1 · Premier League · 7 Nov

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Verbruggen
  2. 20 Costinha
  3. 3 Vušković
  4. 5 Dunk
  5. 21 Boscagli
  6. 13 Groß
  7. 14 Andrés
  8. 25 Gómez
  9. 26 Ayari
  10. 5 De Cuyper
  11. 19 Kostoulas

Coach: Fabian Hürzeler vs Brentford, 2-0 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Hull City

  • DF Charlie HughesInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Matt TargettInjured · Mid December 2026
  • MF Darko GyabiInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Eliot MatazoInjured · Early February 2027
  • MF Ilyas AnsahInjured · Early December 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • DF Pascal StruijkInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Evan FergusonInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Femi AzeezInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Kaoru MitomaInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Stefanos TzimasInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Zadok YohannaInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Hull City

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
5 players out

Brighton & Hove Albion

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
6 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Hull City Brighton & Hove Albion
Box & Territory Pressure 35 71
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 38 71
Finishing Efficiency 39 57
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 50 91
Underlying Play Power 35 77
Hull City Balanced (results match underlying play)
Brighton & Hove Albion Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Hull City

When scoring first 67% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 43% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 41% 2nd Half: 59%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 18%

Brighton & Hove Albion

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 19% Last 15' (76-90'): 16%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Hull City

  1. 1. FW Mohamed Belloumi 3G · 2A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. FW Oli McBurnie 2G · 2A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Mohamed-Ali Cho 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 6.0%

Brighton & Hove Albion

  1. 1. MF Pascal Groß 2G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. FW Georginio Rutter 2G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%
  3. 3. FW Maxim De Cuyper 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 5.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Hull City Brighton & Hove Albion
Over 1.5 goals 5/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 3/10
Both teams scored 5/10 1/10
Clean sheet 2/10 8/10
Failed to score 4/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.9 / 1.2 2.0 / 0.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Hull City

  • L 0-1 at Arsenal (A) Premier League · 7 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Ipswich Town (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 25 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Fulham (A) Premier League · 17 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Everton (H) Premier League · 11 Oct

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • W 2-0 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Getafe (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Manchester City (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Manchester City (A) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Liverpool (A) Premier League · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Hull City

Brighton & Hove Albion

Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Hull City

Player G A
Mohamed Belloumi 3 2
Oli McBurnie (1 pen) 2 2
Joe Gelhardt 1 0
Liam Millar 1 0
Mohamed-Ali Cho 1 0

Brighton & Hove Albion

Player G A
Pascal Groß (2 pens) 4 4
Charalampos Kostoulas 3 2
Jack Hinshelwood 3 0
Yasin Ayari 3 0
Maxim De Cuyper 2 3

Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Hull City Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 4.1 Corners won 5.1
  • 6.3 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 3.0 Yellow cards 2.4
  • 1.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.1

Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Hull CityBrighton & Hove Albion
Attack 0 79 1.1 goals per match this season2.6 goals per match this season
Defence 5 89 1.1 conceded per match this season0.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1792Elo #131 Elo rating 2124Elo #8

Head-to-head

3Hull City wins
4draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion wins

9 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 16 Feb 2016 · Championship Hull City 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 9 Jan 2016 · FA Cup Hull City 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 12 Sep 2015 · Championship Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 Hull City
  • 24 Feb 2014 · FA Cup Hull City 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 17 Feb 2014 · FA Cup Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Hull City

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Arsenal 10 901 15:5 +10 27
2 Brighton & Hove Albion 10 712 26:7 +19 22
3 Manchester City 10 703 21:13 +8 21
4 Liverpool 10 532 14:10 +4 18
5 Chelsea 10 514 19:16 +3 16
6 Everton 10 442 12:10 +2 16
7 AFC Bournemouth 10 433 16:14 +2 15
8 Brentford 10 352 16:11 +5 14
9 Leeds United 10 352 10:8 +2 14
10 Aston Villa 10 343 14:17 -3 13
11 Tottenham Hotspur 10 334 10:11 -1 12
12 Newcastle United 10 334 13:16 -3 12
13 Hull City 10 253 11:11 0 11
14 Ipswich Town 10 325 15:20 -5 11
15 Fulham 10 244 10:12 -2 10
16 Nottingham Forest 10 235 9:13 -4 9
17 Coventry City 10 307 10:19 -9 9
18 Manchester United 10 154 14:19 -5 8
19 Sunderland 10 226 8:17 -9 8
20 Crystal Palace 10 217 10:24 -14 7

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Hull City 11
Brighton & Hove Albion 22

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Premier League club's projection →

More Premier League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.