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Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 33

Fluminense vs Internacional Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Fluminense win
    Model probability Fluminense 65% Draw 79% Internacional 70%
  • Double chance Free pick Fluminense or draw (1X)
    Model probability Fluminense / Draw 16% Fluminense / Internacional 19% Draw / Internacional 89%
  • More corners Free pick Fluminense
    Model probability Fluminense 91% Level 68% Internacional 80%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Above the league average(league 0.1)
    Model probability Over 3.5 88%Over 4.5 30%Over 5.5 10%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.5)
    Model probability Over 8.5 67%Over 9.5 33%Over 10.5 11%

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Why this pick?

A home win is the pick, and the main argument is that Fluminense are the stronger side on our model's ratings and have the Maracanã behind them. Against that sits a poor run: four defeats in their last five across the league and Copa Libertadores, with little recovery time between games. Internacional, though, are 16th and offer little going forward — their big chances created over the last five are clearly below the league average — while Fluminense have been conceding few clear chances of their own. Our model still clearly favours the hosts, and the call is a moderate one rather than a comfortable one.

Match summary

Fluminense vs Internacional in the Brasileirão Série A at the Maracanã on Wednesday 28 October 2026: our model goes for a home win, with Fluminense win or draw as the double chance.

Form guide

Fluminense

  • L 1-2 at Chapecoense (A) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Palmeiras (A) Copa Libertadores · 22 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Santos (H) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Palmeiras (H) Copa Libertadores · 15 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct

Internacional

  • W 3-0 vs Botafogo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Mirassol (A) Brasileirão Série A · 16 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Grêmio (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Corinthians (H) Brasileirão Série A · 7 Oct
  • L 0-1 at São Paulo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 20 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

FluminenseInternacional
Attack 68 37 1.6 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 84 47 1.3 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1793Elo #134 Elo rating 1714Elo #219

Head-to-head

14Fluminense wins
12draws
13Internacional wins

39 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 3 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Internacional 2-0 Fluminense
  • 25 Oct 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Fluminense 1-0 Internacional
  • 7 Aug 2025 · Copa do Brasil Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
  • 31 Jul 2025 · Copa do Brasil Internacional 1-2 Fluminense
  • 1 Jun 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Internacional 0-2 Fluminense

Brasileirão Série A so far

Brasileirão Série A records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
5 Fluminense 32 1499 50:41 +9 51
16 Internacional 32 81113 36:40 -4 35

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 33
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Since last match
Fluminense: 4 days (Brasileirão Série A)
Internacional: 4 days (Brasileirão Série A)
Next match
Fluminense: 9 days (Brasileirão Série A) later
Internacional: 6 days (Brasileirão Série A) later

Questions and answers

Fluminense vs Internacional prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Fluminense to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is home advantage. Our double chance pick is Fluminense or draw.

What time is Fluminense vs Internacional and where is it played?

Fluminense vs Internacional kicks off at 22:30 UK time (22:30 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro. Local time: 19:30 (Brasília time). It is a Brasileirão Série A match (Matchday 33).

What is the recent form of Fluminense and Internacional?

Fluminense have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and lost their latest match. Internacional have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Internacional?

Fluminense and Internacional have met 39 times in our records since 2010: Fluminense won 14, Internacional won 13 and 12 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-05-03, Internacional 2-0 Fluminense.

Who is the referee for Fluminense vs Internacional?

The referee is Lucas Casagrande. In the last 24 matches we have on record, Lucas Casagrande has averaged 3.7 yellow cards per match.

More Brasileirão Série A matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.