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UEFA Nations League · League C, Matchday 5

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Slovakia crest Slovakia
vs
Faroe Islands crest Faroe Islands
Košická futbalová aréna, Košice

Our picks

  • Result Slovakia win
    Model probability 76% 18% 6%
  • Double chance Slovakia or draw (1X)
    Model probability 94% 82% 24%
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.5
    Model probability
  • More corners Slovakia
    Model probability
  • Yellow cards Below the league average(league 3.8)
    Model probability Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over 5.5
  • Corners Around the league average(league 9.8)
    Model probability Over 8.5 Over 9.5 Over 10.5

Most Likely Scorelines

Top 3 full-time scorelines ranked by our model (1st to 3rd)

  1. #1 2‑0
  2. #2 1‑0
  3. #3 3‑0

Key Model Drivers

Primary factors shaping our 1X2 pick

  • Overall club strength gap (Elo & long-run ratings) Strong support
  • Recent goal difference balance Moderate support

See exactly how confident our model is

Both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, cards and corners: these probabilities are for members until the match is over.

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Why this pick?

Slovakia are the pick because our model's strength ratings put them clearly above Faroe Islands, 57 in attack and defence against 19 and 28, and they play at home in Košice. Across their last five matches they have been well ahead of the league average for shots and for touches in the opposition box, while giving up few shots and even fewer clear chances. The caution is the visitors' talent for the draw: four of their previous five outings ended level, including 1‑1 with Slovakia in October. Even so, the gap in territory and chance quality points the same way, and this is a clear call.

Match facts

Competition
UEFA Nations League, League C, Matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Referee
Mohammed Al Emara
Since last match
Slovakia: 38 days (UEFA Nations League) Faroe Islands: 38 days (UEFA Nations League)
Next match
Slovakia: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) later · Kazakhstan Faroe Islands: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) later · Moldova

Predicted line-ups

Slovakia 4-3-3

  1. 23 Greif
  2. 2 Mesík
  3. 14 Škriniar
  4. 21 Obert
  5. 16 Hancko
  6. 19 Rigo
  7. 22 Lobotka
  8. 8 Duda
  9. 18 Schranz
  10. 15 Strelec
  11. 17 Haraslín

Coach: Vladimír Weiss Last match: at Moldova, 4-0 · UEFA Nations League C · 6 Oct

Faroe Islands 3-4-3

  1. 1 Lamhauge
  2. 15 Færø
  3. 16 Vatnhamar
  4. 8 Vatnsdal
  5. 2 Danielsen
  6. 21 Turi
  7. 7 Bjartalíd
  8. 14 Kallsberg
  9. 10 Samuelsen
  10. 11 Knudsen
  11. 20 Sørensen

Coach: Eyðun Klakstein Last match: at Kazakhstan, 2-2 · UEFA Nations League C · 6 Oct

Our model's guess: the XIs of each club's recent matches, those of the same competition counting most, without the injured and suspended. On past matches it named 8.4 of the 11 starters on average. The official line-ups come about an hour before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Slovakia

  • MF Tomás SuslovInjured · Late November 2026

Faroe Islands

  • MF Martin AgnarssonSuspended · Mid November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Slovakia

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
1 player out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Tomás Suslov 8% attack · 5% mins

Faroe Islands

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
1 player out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Martin Agnarsson 6% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 7 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Slovakia Faroe Islands
Box & Territory Pressure 49 40
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 64 56
Finishing Efficiency 77 90
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 65 17
Underlying Play Power 55 46
Slovakia Balanced (results match underlying play)
Faroe Islands Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 7 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Slovakia

When scoring first 80% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 10% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Faroe Islands

When scoring first 44% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 44% 2nd Half: 56%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Slovakia

  1. 1. FW Lukás Haraslín 2G · 2A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. DF Dávid Hancko 2G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 18.0%
  3. 3. FW David Strelec 2G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 9.0%

Faroe Islands

  1. 1. FW Hanus Sørensen 3G · 0A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Petur Knudsen 1G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW Arni Frederiksberg 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 4.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Slovakia Faroe Islands
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 3/10
Both teams scored 5/10 7/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.9 / 1.5 1.5 / 1.1

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Slovakia

  • W 4-0 at Moldova (A) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Faroe Islands (A) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Kazakhstan (H) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
  • W 2-0 vs Moldova (H) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
  • D 2-2 vs Montenegro (H) Friendlies · 5 Jun

Faroe Islands

  • D 2-2 at Kazakhstan (A) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Slovakia (H) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Moldova (A) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
  • D 1-1 vs Kazakhstan (H) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
  • W 1-0 at Latvia (A) Friendlies · 9 Jun

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Slovakia

Faroe Islands

Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Slovakia

Player G A
Dávid Hancko 2 0
Leo Sauer 1 1
Lukás Haraslín 1 1
Ondrej Duda (1 pen) 1 1
Tomás Suslov 1 1

Faroe Islands

Player G A
Adrian Justinussen 1 0
Géza Dávid Turi 1 0
Petur Knudsen 1 0
Viljormur Davidsen (1 pen) 1 0
Áki Samuelsen 1 0

Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Slovakia Faroe Islands
  • 7.0 Corners won 4.8
  • 3.5 Corners conceded 6.8
  • 1.0 Yellow cards 1.2
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 0.8

Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Referee: Mohammed Al Emara, 1 earlier match in our data.

Attack and defence ratings

SlovakiaFaroe Islands
Attack 57 19
Defence 57 28

0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1872Elo #28 Elo rating 1560Elo #92

Head-to-head

0Slovakia wins
1draw
0Faroe Islands wins

1 meeting since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 2 Oct 2026 · UEFA Nations League Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia

Table

League C - Group 3

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Slovakia 4 310 9:2 +7 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 040 5:5 0 4
3 Moldova 4 112 3:8 -5 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 022 5:7 -2 2

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

More UEFA Nations League matches

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Times are UTC.